Measured
$23.1T
M2 money supply pool
Average American: Money Supply vs Wealth Explorer
Compare M2, household net worth, financial assets, and home equity under a strict best-case redistribution model. The key distinction: M2 is the closest thing to liquid money people imagine being divided, while asset values depend on functioning markets, buyers, sellers, and property rights.
Core distinction
M2 is essentially the money-supply pool closest to what people imagine as liquid cash that could be divided. Net worth, financial assets, and home equity are market values. If products, services, property, and ownership claims are no longer bought or sold in functioning markets, those market values no longer behave like redistributable cash and as such do not have a cash value to be redistributed.
If products and services are neither bought nor sold, market value is not spendable cash. In this strict scenario, M2 is the tangible cash-allocation pool; everything else requires ownership transfer, market liquidation, or government control assumptions.
Measured
$23.1T
M2 money supply pool
Calculated
$67,447
Equal allocation before reserve, based on estimated population of 341,784,857 people
Modeled
$7,800
3 month reserve per person
Calculated
$59,647
Remaining after reserve
Modeled
5.2 yrs
Years of a $13,043 annual social welfare assistance equivalent
Scenario controls
Comparable current welfare snapshot
Considering Medicaid/CHIP, SNAP, free/reduced lunch, TANF, rental, and energy social welfare programs, we estimate there are 92M unduplicated recipients.
Annual social welfare assistance equivalent per person: $13,043
Calculated as total budget divided by estimated unduplicated recipients.
Measured vs calculated
This compares different source pools. Only M2 is a money-supply cash-pool scenario; the others are balance-sheet values that depend on functioning markets and property rights.
Reserve math
Best-case upper bound
Logic summary
Welfare comparison teaser
This comparison is an estimate from editable program-budget inputs and an estimated unduplicated recipient count. With the current settings, the listed programs total $1.2T per year. Divided by 92,000,000 estimated unduplicated recipients, that equals $13,043 per person per year.
Under that assumption, the equal allocation from M2 money supply equals about 5.2 years of the modeled annual assistance equivalent.
The next research step is a true deduplicated recipient model using Census SIPP or comparable microdata. Until then, this avoids the biggest error: adding overlapping program caseloads together.
Related tool
Start with Census safety-net participation, then expand toward a benefit-value comparison.
Open welfare dataComparable current welfare snapshot
Lower bound
~85M people on Medicaid/CHIP or SNAP after subtracting their overlap.
Default estimate
92,000,000 modeled unduplicated recipients.
High estimate
~100M people allowing more non-overlap across school meals, rental, and energy aid.
Medicaid / CHIP
Budget input: $950B
Recipients: 77,300,000 (22.6% of population)
39.4% also receive SNAP, 22.5% free/reduced lunch, 2.8% TANF, and about 12% rental or energy aid.
CMS Medicaid and CHIP dataSNAP
Budget input: $113B
Recipients: 38,300,000 (11.2% of population)
79.5% also receive Medicaid/CHIP, 22.8% free/reduced lunch, 4.5% TANF, and 20% rental or energy aid.
USDA FNS SNAP data tablesFree / reduced school meals
Budget input: $21B
Recipients: 28,800,000 (8.4% of population)
60.5% also receive Medicaid/CHIP, 30.3% SNAP, 4.1% TANF, and 8.5% rental or energy aid.
USDA FNS child nutrition data tablesTANF
Budget input: $17B
Recipients: 2,400,000 (0.7% of population)
88% also receive Medicaid/CHIP, 70.1% SNAP, 47.7% free/reduced lunch, and 30% rental or energy aid.
ACF TANF caseload and financial dataRental subsidies
Budget input: $70B
Recipients: 11,700,000 (3.4% of population)
77.4% also receive Medicaid/CHIP, 65.1% SNAP, 20.4% free/reduced lunch, 6.3% TANF, and 28.5% energy aid.
HUD assisted housing dataEnergy aid
Budget input: $4B
Recipients: 14,400,000 (4.2% of population)
65.8% also receive Medicaid/CHIP, 54.4% SNAP, 4.8% TANF, and 23.2% rental subsidies.
HHS LIHEAP data and reportsThese budget values are comparison inputs, not a claim that each listed participant receives that amount. Benefits vary by program, household, eligibility, state, and take-up. The recipient denominator is editable because people commonly receive more than one benefit, and full deduplication requires microdata or a direct Census unduplicated estimate.
Source notes